I'm talking about the ` climate models which predict mean global temperature going out to the end of the century used for political purposes . Weather models are much more tied to reality .

The spectral GHG paradigm , aka: box , claims the ~ 33c difference between the inexcusably crude estimate of our planet's radiative equilibrium and our ~ 288K is due to a spectral ` GreenHouse effect .  My Heartland talk mainly works thru the handful of lines of K , starting from the computation of the 5.e-6 of the celestial sphere the disk of the Sun covers , ( is that a model ? ) to show the quantitative absurdity of claiming that Venus's bottom of atmosphere temperature ,  about 400K above its orbital gray body temperature of ~ 323 , about 2.25 time that orbital temperature , about 25 times the kinetic energy density , is due to some spectral effect .
James Hansen et al's 1981 paper which is an embarrassment to NASA , seems to have been instrumental in coalescing  the paradigm , attributing w/o derivation or equation the gravitational adiabatic ` lapse gradient ( the 33c ) to some sort of spectrum heat trapping rather than the universal tradeoff of gravitational and kinetic energy .

Both sides of the debate , including on the ` skeptics side Roy Spencer , Anthony Watts , Willis Eschenbach , have been ` trapped in this box , actively disparaging any idea that gravity has to be considered . But , if you are writing energy balance equations , and believe in conservation of energy , of course it does .

As I said , these AGW models are pathetic . They go off  into Navier-Stokes finite models w/o ever deeply understanding the most simple non-optional testable quantitative classical  physics . They are making claims about the planet getting a percent or 2 hotter in the next century -- well it used to be , now its down to 80 years , when they literally don't know how to calculate the temperature of a billiard ball under a sunlamp .

Well , you asked ,

BobA

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00427C32  89 C3                       mov ebx,eax
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