Subject: RE: AGWers , Show me the Physics ! |
From: "Marc Morano-ClimateDepot.com" |
Date: Thu, 16 Jul 2009 23:17:34 -0400 |
To: "'Bob Armstrong'" |
CC: "'Joseph Bast'" |
Thanks Bob. I am copying a few others who may be interested. I
appreciate the comments and I will take a look at your site.
From: Bob Armstrong [mailto:bob@cosy.com]
Sent: Thursday, July 16, 2009 8:51 PM
To: Marc Morano
Cc: Joseph Bast; Dennis Avery; Howard Hayden
Subject: AGWers , Show me the Physics !
Marc ,
It was nice to be able to at least shake hands at the end of the WDC conference
. I just was watching a program on network structures , 6 degrees of freedom
stuff , on the Science channel . The great majority of paths go thru a small
number of hubs . Apparently they have an equation for the statistics of
the topology but they only flashed it for a moment ..
Climate Depot has quickly become a very important hub . It is freqing
them out . I've been spending too much time taking the battle to
various blogs you headline . I just vastly upgraded my Forum to
better use it as a blog on which to archive my posts some of which usefully
flesh out various issues .
My particular talent is physics . I can't leave a question alone until I get to
as fundamental understanding of it as I can . And that means math - which
notates physics . But it has to be really simple for me to get my head around
it . That means , let me understand the classical first . That's what defines
the null hypothesis .
That fundamental theory is Gustav
Kirchhoff's brilliant insight , 150
years ago this year , that the tendency for an object to emit radiation
at a given temperature is identical to its tendency to absorb , combined with
the ~120 year old Stefan-Boltzmann law that the power radiated by a body is
proportional to its temperature raised to the 4th power . . That's it . That's
the whole thing . The rest is geometry .
The crudest application of this relationship predicts objects in our orbit will
be about 1/21 the temperature of the Sun . And we are . In fact , the notion of
a temperature "runaway" as claimed for Venus is provably nuts .
Oddly , so far as I can tell , this foundational physics seems ignored on
both sides of the debate . When have you ever heard any classic , quantitative
, confirmed statement of the relationship of our temperature , indeed ,
Mercury and Mars's also , to that of the Sun ? Even on the realist side
, the discussion always sounds like the Sun is just another "forcing"
whose effect is still open to question . I was astounded to hear Monckton
say Stefan-Boltzmann was never even mentioned in the IPCC report .
So , I'm looking for some peer review . ( Someone please pass this on to Willie
Soon , I don't seem to have have his address . The basic relationship should be
able to be found in a peri/aphelion effect of about 1% in the temperature
record . )
I really want to extend the algorithm to handle full spectra so the
quantitative effect of , eg , changes of saturation of CO2's lines , can be
calculated .
But the Dow went up about 300 points while I've been writing this , and must
turn to my fiduciary responsibilities .
I'd greatly appreciate feedback on my Planetary
Temperature page , especially suggestions on points which need to be
clarified , or arguments as to why the equation doesn't apply to earth (
despite the fact that it clearly does ) .
Join the Forum
and post any questions .
Thanks ,
Peace thru Freedom ,
Bob Armstrong -- CoSy.com -- 719-337-2733
--
-- Bob Armstrong -- CoSy.com -- 719-337-2733 --